With all the options so close I think that the predicted ownership and your personal risk appetite is key this week. Choose Salah to move up or down fewer places, choose another captain to increase the chance of moving up or down if your choice does better than the others.
Perhaps the missing metric would be the variance or distribution (not really sure of my terms) if people really wanted to protect rank though - who is almost certain to get 4pts but not likely to get above 8pts compared to an option that might score 2pts more often but also score 10pts+ more often. etc.
Thank you! Just asking as he was my initial instinct for my team before seeing any numbers. It's gonna be a tough call, maximum use of decision frameworks required!
I would also say that when it is this close it is okay to go with your preference. You can choose Mbeumo with a clean conscience and not run through any frameworks. Good luck!
With all the options so close I think that the predicted ownership and your personal risk appetite is key this week. Choose Salah to move up or down fewer places, choose another captain to increase the chance of moving up or down if your choice does better than the others.
Perhaps the missing metric would be the variance or distribution (not really sure of my terms) if people really wanted to protect rank though - who is almost certain to get 4pts but not likely to get above 8pts compared to an option that might score 2pts more often but also score 10pts+ more often. etc.
Thanks elevenify, out of interest how close is Mbeumo to these numbers
5.9!
He is relatively better in Review comparatively at 6.0.
Changing all the time but just as good as the other options! Massively close this week.
Thank you! Just asking as he was my initial instinct for my team before seeing any numbers. It's gonna be a tough call, maximum use of decision frameworks required!
I would also say that when it is this close it is okay to go with your preference. You can choose Mbeumo with a clean conscience and not run through any frameworks. Good luck!